Economic forecast: Iran crisis clouds the outlook
The Federal Government Expert Group on Business Cycles has revised its growth forecast for Switzerland slightly downward. GDP is now expected to increase by 0.9% in 2026 – well below the historical average – followed by 1.6% in 2027 (March forecast: 1.0% and 1.7% respectively). The crisis in the Middle East is driving up energy prices and weighing on the global economy. Uncertainty remains high.
Current economic forecast
Tables
Previous forecasts
Previous forecasts can be found in the “Konjunkturtendenzen”.
Publication schedule
Index
Relevant topics
Gross domestic product
SECO publishes Switzerland’s quarterly national accounts approximately 60 days after the end of the quarter.
Index of weekly economic activity
Experimental high-frequency index tracking the development of the Swiss economy.
Swiss economic confidence
The composite indicator provides a reliable overall picture of economic sentiment in Switzerland.
Consumer sentiment
The survey captures early indications of economic sentiment among Swiss households.
GDP flash
Around 45 days after the end of the quarter, SECO publishes an experimental flash estimate of GDP growth.
Publications on the economic situation
«Konjunkturtendenzen» / «Tendances conjoncturelles» provide an overview of the domestic and international economic situation and current economic forecasts.
Contact
Economic Policy Directorate / Short Term Economic Analyses
Felicitas Kemeny
Holzikofenweg 36
3003 Bern