Potential growth

SECO publishes periodically quarterly time series for potential output and output gap of the Swiss economy. Both measures are of importance for detecting the position of the economy in the business cycle. Apart, they are key indicators for short-term and medium-run forecasts of main figures for economic development. They are also the cornerstone for the construction of long-term scenarios for Swiss GDP.

Output gap, in % from potential

og_en

Documents

Estimating a Quarterly Potential Output Series for Switzerland (PDF, 492 kB, 13.02.2020)Grundlagen für die Wirtschaftspolitik Nr. 8
Study in English with German, French and Italian summary

Estimate and forecast of potential output based on a production function – theory and application to Switzerland (PDF, 1 MB, 13.02.2020)Grundlagen für die Wirtschaftspolitik Nr. 9
Study in German with French, Italian and English summary

Univariate and multivariate filters for estimating potential output – theory and application to Switzerland (PDF, 1 MB, 13.02.2020)Grundlagen für die Wirtschaftspolitik Nr. 10
Study in German with French, Italian and English summary

Estimating a Quarterly Potential Output Series for Switzerland (PDF, 594 kB, 13.02.2020)Grundlagen für die Wirtschaftspolitik Nr. 12
Study in English with German, French and Italian summary

Agenda

  • 03.06.2020 Update
  • 28.09.2020 Update
  • 01.12.2020 Update

Last modification 02.03.2020

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Contact

State Secretariat for Economic Affairs SECO

Economic Policy Directorate
Short Term Economic Analyses

Ronald Indergand
Holzikofenweg 36
CH-3003 Bern

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Print contact

https://www.seco.admin.ch/content/seco/en/home/wirtschaftslage---wirtschaftspolitik/Wirtschaftslage/potenzialwachstum.html