Economic forecasts

The Federal Government's Expert Group publishes on a quarterly basis its forecasts for Switzerland's economic development based on assumptions about the international economy and on monetary developments. The release dates are listed below in the «Agenda» tab.

A comprehensive assessment of the economic situation in Switzerland and abroad as well as information on the economic forecast of the expert group can be found in SECO's quarterly publication «Konjunkturtendenzen» (available in German and French). Selected forecast results for the gross domestic product, the labor market and the consumer price index are summarized in the table below.

Economy continues dynamic recovery

Economic forecasts by the Federal Government’s Expert Group – spring 2018
The Federal Government’s Expert Group expects the economy to continue its dynamic recovery and anticipates strong GDP growth of 2.4% in 2018. The buoyant international economy is supporting foreign trade, while a favourable investment climate is stimulating domestic demand. Amid a gradual slowdown in the global economy, GDP growth is expected to moderate to a solid 2.0% in 2019. The promising upturn is to be accompanied by a further noticeable brightening on the labour market and a moderate rise in inflation.

Further information

Press releases

20.03.2018

Economy continues dynamic recovery

Economy continues dynamic recovery (PDF, 114 kB, 20.03.2018)

Tables Forecasts from 20.03.2018 (PDF, 77 kB, 20.03.2018)

Archive

19.12.2017

Economic recovery gains momentum

21.09.2017

Swiss economy resumes stronger growth

20.06.2017

Positive economic outlook continues despite tentative recovery to date

21.03.2017

Switzerland’s economic prospects remain positive

15.12.2016

Economic recovery continues in Switzerland

19.09.2016

Despite continued risks, the Swiss economy remains on course for recovery

16.06.2016

Modest GDP growth expected for Switzerland

17.03.2016

Slow economic recovery in 2016 and 2017

17.12.2015

Swiss economy gains momentum – but slowly

17.09.2015

Below-average growth also expected for 2016

16.06.2015

Painful adaptation of the economy to the strong Swiss franc

19.03.2015

The revaluation of the Swiss franc reduces GDP growth prospects for 2015 and 2016

05.02.2015

Economic forecasts 2015 and 2016 from the Federal Government’s Expert Group: Consequences of the higher exchange rate for the economy

18.12.2014

Relatively favourable economic prospects in a risky environment

16.10.2014

Slightly lower growth forecasts, with increased downside risks

17.06.2014

Economic prospects remain positive despite delay in recovery of exports

18.03.2014

Growth is expected to slightly accelerate and should feed through into lower unemployment

19.12.2013

Economic upturn also extending to the export industry - prospects of lower unemployment

19.09.2013

Brighter economic outlook

11.06.2013

Swiss economy: between a rising domestic demand and subdued exports

18.03.2013

Economic confidence slowly returns – more vigorous growth not before 2014

13.12.2012

Economic outlook moderately positive

18.09.2012

Slowdown in economic growth

12.06.2012

Swiss economy performing well in a difficult and risky environment - outlook subject to significant risks

Agenda

Release calendar 2018

The release schedule for the 2018 publications of the Federal Government's Expert Group on Economic Forecasts is the following:

Forecasts, June 2018
Tuesday, June 19, 2018, 07:45

Forecasts, September 2018
Wednesday, September 19, 2018, 07:45

Forecasts, December 2018
Tuesday, December 18, 2018, 07:45

Last modification 19.03.2018